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๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†, ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ

  • Apr 2
  • 2 min read

House prices are quietly becoming more affordable โ€“ but the interesting bit is where thatโ€™s happening, and what it really means if youโ€™re investing.


Since 2020, average salaries are up around 20%, while house prices have grown at roughly 1% per year.ย 


In other words, priceโ€‘toโ€‘income ratios are finally easing at the same time as major lenders move from 5x to 6x income multiples. Banks are simply willing to lend more against the same income.


Higher incomes. More borrowing power.ย 


On the face of it, that looks great. But thereโ€™s a problem most people gloss over: supply.


In the UK they are building about 200,000 homes a year when the country needs closer to 300,000 โ€“ and delivery has been sliding since 2022.


Put that together and you get a very specific sweet spot:

  • Areas where priceโ€‘toโ€‘income still makes sense

  • Real, repeatable demand from students, key workers, professionals and families

  • Nowhere near enough good, wellโ€‘run homes to meet that demand


If youโ€™re an ownerโ€‘occupier, thatโ€™s a window of opportunity.


If youโ€™re an investor, itโ€™s a structural imbalance that can quietly support both income and values over the long term โ€“ if youโ€™re selective about what and where you buy, and how the deal is structured.


At ๐—”๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—”๐—ฐ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€, this is exactly what we focus on:

  • the point where affordability, undersupply and income meet. And we build deals around cash flow first โ€“ staged payments, solid operators, clear exits โ€“ rather than hoping the market will bail you out.


If you want the oneโ€‘page framework we use to look at income, lending and supply before we go near a deal, send me a private DM and Iโ€™ll share it.

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The contents of this personal website are intended for educational purposes only. The information contained herein, including all attachments, should not be construed as investment, tax, or financial advice. Any investment performance quoted is for illustrative purposes only, and no warranty or undertaking is made regarding its accuracy. Past investment performance is not indicative of future results. The returns mentioned are not guaranteed and are subject to market conditions. Prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough due diligence to understand the risks and suitability of this investment relative to their individual circumstances. Investors should be prepared for potential fluctuations in value. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for all investment, tax, and financial decisions that you make.

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